The original Lake Wobegon finding
1987–88 reports showed essentially all states reporting above the national average on commercial tests—a statistical impossibility driven by outdated norms, reused items, and weak security.
Federal advocacy · April 2025
Browse letter sources Policy solutions Supporting PDF (optional)
Core line: parents deserve honest information about what their children know and when they know it. Commercial and state-reported scores that look reassuring while secure independent measures such as NAEP tell a harder truth are not “good news”—they are a measurement failure.
1987–88 reports showed essentially all states reporting above the national average on commercial tests—a statistical impossibility driven by outdated norms, reused items, and weak security.
Examples cited include large state-proficiency vs. NAEP gaps (e.g., West Virginia and Mississippi illustrations) and California STAR gains that faded when items were secured.
Without trustworthy scores, parents cannot compare schools. Markets and accountability both fail when the instrument is wrong.
Secure, centrally administered systems (e.g., Singapore, Germany, Japan, South Korea) and low-stress high-performing models (Finland) show alternatives to U.S. commercial fragmentation.
These align with HEA’s broader policy agenda: expand honest national measurement and remove educator control of high-stakes instruments. See Solutions.
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